Arsenal vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
16.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1953 |
CAR
0 - 3
ARS
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1953 |
ARS
2 - 2
MAC
79%
13%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1953 |
CHL
0 - 2
ARS
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1953 |
SUN
7 - 1
ARS
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1953 |
ARS
1 - 2
CHL
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1953 |
PNE
3 - 1
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1953 |
MUD
1 - 0
PNE
57%
21%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1953 |
CHA
2 - 1
PNE
54%
21%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1953 |
PNE
2 - 2
NEW
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1953 |
PNE
2 - 0
CHA
65%
19%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |