Arsenal vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1949 |
BUR
1 - 1
ARS
36%
28%
37%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1949 |
ARS
5 - 0
BOL
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1949 |
WOL
1 - 3
ARS
64%
19%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1949 |
ARS
5 - 0
SUN
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1949 |
ASV
1 - 0
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1949 |
PNE
0 - 0
DER
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1949 |
BPO
2 - 2
PNE
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1949 |
PNE
3 - 1
EVE
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1949 |
CHL
5 - 3
PNE
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1949 |
PNE
0 - 0
BIR
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |