Arsenal vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1948 |
MUD
1 - 1
ARS
60%
21%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1948 |
ARS
3 - 2
SHE
67%
18%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
BOL
0 - 1
ARS
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1947 |
ARS
1 - 2
LIV
64%
19%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1947 |
LIV
1 - 3
ARS
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1948 |
OPA
1 - 3
PNE
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1948 |
PNE
2 - 1
CHA
62%
20%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1948 |
MID
1 - 1
PNE
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1947 |
PNE
3 - 2
BUR
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1947 |
BUR
1 - 0
PNE
39%
26%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |