Arsenal vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1923 |
ASV
1 - 1
ARS
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1923 |
ARS
1 - 1
BBU
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1923 |
ARS
2 - 0
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1923 |
OLD
0 - 0
ARS
38%
28%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1923 |
ARS
2 - 0
OLD
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1923 |
PNE
3 - 0
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1923 |
PNE
2 - 0
TOT
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1923 |
CAR
1 - 0
PNE
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1923 |
TOT
1 - 1
PNE
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1923 |
PNE
2 - 0
SUN
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |