Arsenal vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
SHW
3 - 0
ARS
66%
19%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1912 |
ARS
2 - 1
MUD
38%
27%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1912 |
EVE
1 - 0
ARS
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
SUN
1 - 0
ARS
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 2
WBA
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1912 |
PNE
3 - 0
SHE
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1912 |
PNE
2 - 1
LIV
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
EVE
1 - 0
PNE
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1912 |
PNE
0 - 0
MUD
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1912 |
MAC
0 - 0
PNE
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |