Arsenal vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1908 |
MAC
4 - 0
ARS
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1908 |
BRI
1 - 2
ARS
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1908 |
SUN
5 - 2
ARS
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1907 |
SHW
6 - 0
ARS
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1907 |
ARS
4 - 0
SUN
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1908 |
PNE
3 - 2
SUN
59%
21%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1908 |
PNE
1 - 1
BIR
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1908 |
BOL
2 - 0
PNE
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1908 |
BBU
1 - 1
PNE
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1907 |
PNE
0 - 0
MUD
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |