Arsenal vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1950 |
ARS
2 - 0
LIV
68%
17%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1950 |
WOL
3 - 0
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1950 |
ARS
4 - 2
NEW
68%
18%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1950 |
ARS
6 - 0
STO
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1950 |
BPO
2 - 1
ARS
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1950 |
OPA
2 - 1
LIV
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1950 |
MUD
0 - 2
OPA
59%
20%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1950 |
FUL
0 - 1
OPA
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1950 |
OPA
0 - 1
WBA
71%
17%
13%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
OPA
3 - 0
FUL
72%
17%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |