Arsenal vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1928 |
BBU
1 - 0
ARS
54%
20%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1928 |
ARS
3 - 2
BBU
64%
19%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1928 |
SUN
5 - 1
ARS
63%
19%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1928 |
BOL
1 - 1
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1928 |
ARS
6 - 3
LIV
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1928 |
TOT
0 - 3
OPA
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1928 |
OPA
1 - 0
MUD
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1928 |
EVE
0 - 0
OPA
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1928 |
OPA
3 - 0
CAR
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1928 |
OPA
1 - 0
BUR
37%
23%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |