Arsenal vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
ARS
4 - 1
LEV
47%
23%
30%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 1
ARS
49%
23%
28%
|
97 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 1
MUD
57%
21%
22%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 1
BOU
81%
13%
6%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
77%
15%
8%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCU
0 - 4
LYO
40%
25%
35%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
LYO
0 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
STP
1 - 0
LYO
29%
24%
47%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 3
LYO
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LYO
7 - 0
CDE
96%
4%
1%
|
88 | 20 | 68 | 0 |