Arsenal vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
OLD
1 - 1
ARS
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
SUN
5 - 1
ARS
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 2
SUN
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
ARS
3 - 2
TOT
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
TOT
2 - 1
ARS
65%
19%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1921 |
OLD
2 - 1
DER
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
OLD
1 - 1
ARS
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
DER
3 - 3
OLD
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
BOL
1 - 1
OLD
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
OLD
0 - 0
BOL
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |