Arsenal vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1910 |
ARS
0 - 0
SUN
33%
25%
43%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1910 |
ASV
3 - 0
ARS
78%
14%
9%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1910 |
ARS
0 - 0
SHE
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1910 |
BCF
1 - 1
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1910 |
ARS
1 - 2
MUD
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1910 |
OLD
2 - 0
TOT
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1910 |
SUN
2 - 1
OLD
82%
11%
7%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1910 |
OLD
0 - 2
NEW
31%
25%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1910 |
ASV
1 - 1
OLD
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1910 |
OLD
3 - 0
HUL
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |