Arsenal vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1925 |
BIR
1 - 0
ARS
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1925 |
ARS
1 - 0
WBA
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1925 |
HUR
2 - 2
ARS
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1925 |
ARS
2 - 0
SUN
45%
24%
32%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1925 |
BBU
2 - 3
ARS
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1925 |
HUR
2 - 0
NOT
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1925 |
NOT
2 - 0
SUN
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1925 |
CAR
2 - 1
NOT
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1925 |
NOT
4 - 2
TOT
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1925 |
MAC
1 - 1
NOT
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |