Arsenal vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
16%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1908 |
SHW
6 - 2
ARS
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1908 |
ARS
2 - 1
LEI
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1908 |
LEI
1 - 1
ARS
43%
24%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1908 |
ARS
0 - 1
MUD
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1908 |
BRA
4 - 1
ARS
45%
24%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1909 |
MUD
4 - 3
NOT
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1908 |
NOT
0 - 0
EVE
39%
25%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1908 |
EVE
0 - 1
NOT
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1908 |
NOT
1 - 1
BRA
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1908 |
BBU
0 - 2
NOT
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |