Arsenal vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
BRI
1 - 3
ARS
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1906 |
ARS
2 - 1
LIV
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
ASV
2 - 2
ARS
72%
16%
11%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1906 |
ARS
2 - 0
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1906 |
PNE
0 - 3
ARS
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
NOT
0 - 1
EVE
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 0
NOT
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
NOT
0 - 0
SUN
44%
23%
33%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1906 |
BBU
0 - 2
NOT
68%
18%
15%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1906 |
EVE
2 - 2
NOT
86%
9%
5%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |