Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
ARS
2 - 1
SHW
61%
22%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1993 |
ARS
0 - 1
ASV
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
IPS
1 - 2
ARS
29%
28%
43%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1993 |
MID
1 - 0
ARS
24%
28%
48%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
ARS
1 - 0
TOT
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1993 |
WIM
1 - 0
NTT
47%
25%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1993 |
NTT
2 - 1
TOT
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
QPR
4 - 3
NTT
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
NTT
1 - 3
BBU
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
NTT
0 - 1
ASV
47%
27%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |