Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
WOL
1 - 1
ARS
49%
24%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1977 |
ARS
1 - 0
EVE
50%
25%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
IPS
1 - 0
ARS
61%
22%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1977 |
MUD
3 - 2
ARS
61%
22%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1977 |
ARS
1 - 1
MID
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
NTT
3 - 0
DER
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1977 |
NTT
1 - 0
BRI
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
EVE
1 - 3
NTT
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1977 |
NTT
1 - 0
MIL
69%
19%
13%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1977 |
PLY
1 - 2
NTT
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |