Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1924 |
ARS
0 - 1
BIR
52%
26%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
BIR
2 - 1
ARS
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1924 |
ARS
6 - 1
LEE
64%
22%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1924 |
BUR
1 - 0
ARS
56%
22%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1924 |
ARS
4 - 0
PNE
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 1
BOL
28%
30%
42%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
BOL
1 - 0
NTT
71%
17%
13%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 0
TOT
35%
29%
36%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1924 |
WBA
5 - 1
NTT
65%
19%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 1
BIR
36%
28%
37%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |