Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1909 |
NOT
5 - 1
ARS
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1909 |
BBU
7 - 0
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1909 |
ARS
3 - 2
CHL
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1909 |
BOL
3 - 0
ARS
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
MID
5 - 2
ARS
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1909 |
NTT
2 - 3
SHE
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1909 |
ASV
0 - 0
NTT
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1909 |
NTT
1 - 4
LIV
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 2
NTT
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
NTT
2 - 1
NOT
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |