Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 1
MID
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
ASV
2 - 1
ARS
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1909 |
BCF
1 - 1
ARS
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1909 |
ARS
5 - 0
LIV
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
MAC
2 - 2
ARS
70%
16%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
DER
3 - 0
NTT
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1909 |
NTT
2 - 0
MUD
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1909 |
NTT
3 - 1
MIL
85%
10%
5%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
NTT
2 - 1
BBU
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1909 |
NTT
4 - 0
SUN
48%
23%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |