Arsenal vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1979 |
ASV
5 - 1
ARS
51%
25%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
DER
2 - 0
ARS
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
ARS
5 - 2
CHL
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
WBA
1 - 1
ARS
55%
24%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1979 |
ARS
1 - 0
TOT
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1979 |
MUD
1 - 0
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
NOR
1 - 2
ASV
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
WOL
1 - 0
NOR
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
NOR
0 - 1
IPS
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1979 |
QPR
0 - 0
NOR
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |