Arsenal vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
ARS
4 - 0
TWE
76%
17%
7%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
FUL
1 - 0
ARS
15%
22%
63%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 0
WBA
76%
16%
8%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
TWE
0 - 2
ARS
17%
24%
60%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 0
RMA
51%
25%
25%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2008 |
COV
2 - 3
NEW
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 0
BOL
50%
26%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
MUD
1 - 1
NEW
77%
16%
8%
|
86 | 97 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
EVE
3 - 1
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2008 |
NEW
0 - 2
CHL
20%
27%
53%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |