Arsenal vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1989 |
ARS
2 - 0
EVE
52%
26%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
MUD
1 - 1
ARS
46%
27%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
SOU
1 - 3
ARS
33%
27%
40%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1989 |
ARS
2 - 2
CHA
72%
19%
9%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
ARS
1 - 3
NTT
48%
27%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1989 |
NEW
1 - 2
ASV
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1989 |
SOU
1 - 0
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1989 |
NEW
1 - 3
SHW
57%
23%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
NOR
0 - 2
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1989 |
NEW
2 - 0
EVE
32%
29%
39%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |