Arsenal vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
ARS
1 - 1
BIR
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1975 |
ARS
0 - 2
WHU
55%
25%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
ARS
0 - 2
EVE
48%
27%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1975 |
DER
2 - 1
ARS
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1975 |
WOL
1 - 0
ARS
53%
24%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
IPS
5 - 4
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1975 |
WHU
0 - 1
NEW
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1975 |
CHL
3 - 2
NEW
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1975 |
NEW
3 - 0
BUR
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1975 |
NEW
4 - 1
LIV
39%
30%
31%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | +1 |