Arsenal vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1957 |
SHW
2 - 0
ARS
47%
22%
31%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1957 |
ARS
3 - 2
OPA
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1957 |
NTT
4 - 0
ARS
39%
24%
37%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1957 |
ARS
2 - 1
MAC
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1957 |
CHL
0 - 0
ARS
53%
21%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1957 |
NEW
1 - 2
MUD
27%
22%
51%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1957 |
LUT
0 - 3
NEW
53%
22%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1957 |
NEW
1 - 2
BPO
45%
23%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1957 |
LEI
2 - 1
NEW
58%
19%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1957 |
NEW
1 - 1
WOL
37%
23%
40%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |