Arsenal vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1956 |
PNE
3 - 0
ARS
54%
21%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1956 |
OPA
2 - 3
ARS
57%
20%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1956 |
ARS
1 - 2
PNE
60%
20%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
ARS
4 - 1
WBA
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1956 |
BUR
3 - 1
ARS
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1956 |
NEW
1 - 1
MUD
38%
23%
39%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1956 |
BIR
6 - 1
NEW
58%
19%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
SHW
4 - 0
NEW
51%
21%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1956 |
NEW
1 - 0
CAR
66%
18%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
SUN
1 - 2
NEW
52%
21%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |