Arsenal vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
15.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1952 |
ARS
4 - 1
BPO
70%
16%
13%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
BOL
2 - 1
ARS
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1952 |
BPO
0 - 0
ARS
48%
24%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1952 |
ARS
3 - 0
CHL
81%
12%
8%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1952 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHL
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1952 |
MID
2 - 1
NEW
46%
22%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
NEW
1 - 0
MAC
73%
16%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1952 |
NEW
0 - 2
MID
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1952 |
NEW
1 - 3
BPO
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1952 |
NEW
2 - 1
BBU
83%
11%
6%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |