Arsenal vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1950 |
ARS
6 - 0
STO
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1950 |
BPO
2 - 1
ARS
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
ARS
4 - 1
MAC
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1950 |
ARS
1 - 3
ASV
67%
18%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
FUL
2 - 2
ARS
36%
27%
38%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1950 |
HUR
1 - 2
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1950 |
NEW
5 - 1
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
NEW
0 - 0
HUR
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
BIR
0 - 2
NEW
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1950 |
DER
1 - 1
NEW
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |