Arsenal vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1929 |
ARS
7 - 1
BCF
62%
20%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1929 |
ARS
1 - 0
BBU
58%
21%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1929 |
SHE
2 - 2
ARS
63%
19%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1929 |
ARS
2 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1929 |
BIR
1 - 1
ARS
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1929 |
BIR
0 - 0
NEW
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1929 |
NEW
4 - 0
MAC
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1929 |
HUR
2 - 1
NEW
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1929 |
NEW
2 - 1
ASV
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1929 |
NEW
4 - 3
SUN
58%
21%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |