Arsenal vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1925 |
LIV
2 - 1
ARS
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1924 |
ARS
2 - 1
NTT
63%
21%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1924 |
ARS
0 - 1
BIR
52%
26%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
BIR
2 - 1
ARS
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1924 |
ARS
6 - 1
LEE
64%
22%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1925 |
NEW
4 - 1
ASV
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1925 |
NEW
0 - 0
SHE
54%
23%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1924 |
HUR
0 - 0
NEW
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1924 |
NEW
1 - 1
EVE
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
EVE
0 - 1
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |