Arsenal vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
21.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1922 |
ARS
0 - 0
BUR
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
ARS
1 - 0
CHL
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1921 |
CHL
0 - 2
ARS
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1921 |
CAR
4 - 3
ARS
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1921 |
ARS
0 - 0
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 4
NEW
54%
26%
20%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
MUD
0 - 1
NEW
52%
27%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1922 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIV
50%
26%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1921 |
NEW
3 - 0
MUD
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1921 |
LIV
1 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |