Arsenal vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARS
50%
23%
28%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1921 |
ARS
2 - 1
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1921 |
SHE
1 - 1
ARS
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1921 |
WBA
3 - 4
ARS
64%
21%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1921 |
ARS
2 - 1
WBA
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 0
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1921 |
BOL
3 - 1
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1921 |
NEW
0 - 1
DER
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1921 |
OLD
0 - 0
NEW
50%
27%
22%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1921 |
DER
0 - 1
NEW
50%
27%
23%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |