Arsenal vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1911 |
ASV
4 - 1
ARS
79%
13%
8%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1911 |
ARS
2 - 2
LIV
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1911 |
NOT
0 - 2
ARS
63%
20%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1911 |
ARS
2 - 0
PNE
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1911 |
LIV
1 - 1
ARS
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1911 |
NEW
0 - 2
BRA
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1911 |
NEW
2 - 0
EVE
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1911 |
BOL
0 - 2
NEW
37%
25%
37%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1911 |
NEW
3 - 3
MAC
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1911 |
BRA
1 - 0
NEW
45%
24%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |