Arsenal vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1906 |
PNE
0 - 3
ARS
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1906 |
ARS
2 - 0
MID
73%
15%
11%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1906 |
BCF
4 - 1
ARS
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1906 |
MAC
1 - 4
ARS
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1906 |
SUN
2 - 2
ARS
64%
21%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1906 |
NEW
1 - 0
EVE
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 4
NEW
49%
24%
28%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1906 |
SHW
2 - 2
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1906 |
NEW
4 - 2
SUN
69%
18%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1906 |
NEW
3 - 0
BBU
75%
16%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |