Europa League Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
Arsenal vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
EVE
1 - 0
ARS
41%
24%
36%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
ARS
2 - 0
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
ALN
2 - 3
ARS
11%
20%
70%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
ARS
3 - 0
REN
68%
19%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ARS
2 - 0
MUD
38%
25%
38%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
NAP
1 - 1
GEN
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
EMP
2 - 1
NAP
14%
21%
65%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ROM
1 - 4
NAP
39%
24%
37%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
NAP
4 - 2
UDI
84%
12%
5%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
RBS
3 - 1
NAP
41%
26%
34%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | -1 |