FA Cup 1/32
Global 0-2
Arsenal vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
ARS
1 - 1
EVE
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1995 |
LIV
1 - 0
ARS
51%
26%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
MIL
0 - 0
ARS
30%
29%
41%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1995 |
TOT
1 - 0
ARS
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1994 |
ARS
1 - 3
QPR
56%
25%
20%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
MIL
0 - 0
CHL
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
QPR
1 - 0
MIL
79%
14%
8%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
SHE
1 - 1
MIL
63%
22%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 1995 |
SWI
3 - 1
MIL
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
MIL
0 - 0
ARS
30%
29%
41%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |