UEFA Super Cup Final
Global 0-2
Arsenal vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
33.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1995 |
ARS
1 - 1
SOU
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1995 |
COV
0 - 1
ARS
30%
29%
41%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
ARS
0 - 2
MIL
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
ARS
1 - 1
EVE
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1995 |
LIV
1 - 0
ARS
51%
26%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
ACM
2 - 0
FIO
60%
24%
16%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
BAR
3 - 5
ACM
22%
29%
49%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1995 |
ACM
2 - 1
REG
67%
22%
11%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
ACM
1 - 1
NAP
54%
26%
21%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1994 |
TOR
0 - 0
ACM
35%
29%
37%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |