Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
LIV
4 - 4
ARS
50%
24%
26%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ARS
1 - 2
CHL
41%
27%
32%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
ARS
3 - 0
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
WIG
1 - 4
ARS
16%
23%
61%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
ARS
31%
27%
42%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MID
0 - 0
FUL
49%
26%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
MID
3 - 1
HUL
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
BOL
4 - 1
MID
47%
28%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
STO
1 - 0
MID
36%
29%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MID
1 - 1
OPA
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |