Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.2%
10.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1954 |
OPA
1 - 1
ARS
51%
22%
27%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1954 |
NEW
5 - 2
ARS
48%
23%
30%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1954 |
ARS
3 - 0
OPA
72%
15%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1954 |
ARS
3 - 0
LIV
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1954 |
ARS
1 - 1
ASV
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1954 |
LIV
4 - 1
MID
51%
21%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1954 |
MID
0 - 0
SUN
51%
21%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1954 |
MID
0 - 1
LIV
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1954 |
MAC
5 - 2
MID
51%
22%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1954 |
MID
2 - 1
ASV
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |