Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1929 |
BBU
1 - 1
ARS
58%
21%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1929 |
BIR
2 - 3
ARS
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1929 |
ARS
0 - 1
WHU
57%
20%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 0
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1929 |
ARS
4 - 1
GRI
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1929 |
MID
2 - 3
ASV
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1929 |
MID
3 - 0
SUN
53%
22%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1929 |
MAC
3 - 1
MID
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1929 |
MID
4 - 0
DER
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1929 |
EVE
3 - 2
MID
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |