Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
BBU
4 - 1
ARS
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
ARS
1 - 2
BOL
56%
22%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1927 |
SHW
1 - 1
ARS
46%
24%
31%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1927 |
ARS
2 - 2
LEI
63%
20%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1927 |
OPA
2 - 3
ARS
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
MID
3 - 0
SHE
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
BCF
1 - 4
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1927 |
MID
2 - 3
BUR
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1927 |
BIR
3 - 2
MID
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1927 |
ASV
5 - 1
MID
65%
18%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |