Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1923 |
MID
2 - 0
ARS
61%
21%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1923 |
ARS
3 - 1
CHL
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1923 |
CHL
0 - 0
ARS
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1923 |
ARS
2 - 0
NTT
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1923 |
NTT
2 - 1
ARS
34%
25%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1923 |
MID
2 - 0
ARS
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1923 |
EVE
5 - 3
MID
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1923 |
MID
2 - 4
EVE
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1923 |
SUN
2 - 1
MID
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1923 |
LIV
2 - 0
MID
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |