Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
MID
1 - 0
ARS
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
ARS
3 - 0
SHE
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1920 |
SHE
2 - 0
ARS
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1920 |
MUD
0 - 1
ARS
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1920 |
ARS
0 - 3
MUD
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
MID
1 - 0
ARS
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
SUN
1 - 1
MID
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1920 |
MID
0 - 2
SUN
42%
23%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1920 |
MID
0 - 0
WBA
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1920 |
WBA
4 - 1
MID
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |