Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1911 |
BCF
3 - 1
ARS
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1911 |
ARS
0 - 2
SHW
45%
25%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1911 |
BBU
4 - 0
ARS
61%
22%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1911 |
ARS
3 - 0
SUN
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1911 |
WBA
1 - 1
ARS
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1911 |
MID
1 - 0
BRA
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1911 |
BOL
1 - 0
MID
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1911 |
MID
3 - 0
OLD
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1911 |
SHE
1 - 1
MID
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1911 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |