Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1906 |
BCF
4 - 1
ARS
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1906 |
MAC
1 - 4
ARS
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1906 |
SUN
2 - 2
ARS
64%
21%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1906 |
MID
2 - 0
ARS
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1906 |
NEW
1 - 1
ARS
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1906 |
MID
2 - 2
EVE
38%
24%
39%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1906 |
BBU
1 - 1
MID
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1906 |
MID
2 - 0
ARS
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1906 |
MID
6 - 1
MAC
36%
26%
39%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1906 |
BOL
2 - 1
MID
80%
12%
8%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |