Arsenal vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
42.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1958 |
LEI
0 - 1
ARS
53%
21%
26%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1958 |
ARS
2 - 3
BPO
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1957 |
LUT
4 - 0
ARS
46%
23%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1957 |
ASV
3 - 0
ARS
46%
23%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1957 |
ARS
3 - 0
SUN
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1958 |
MUD
7 - 2
BOL
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1958 |
MUD
2 - 1
CRV
75%
14%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1958 |
LEE
1 - 1
MUD
23%
22%
56%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 2
MUD
40%
22%
38%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1957 |
LUT
2 - 2
MUD
26%
22%
52%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |