Arsenal vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
21.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1955 |
SHE
1 - 1
ARS
46%
22%
31%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1955 |
WOL
3 - 1
ARS
67%
17%
16%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1955 |
CAR
1 - 2
ARS
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1955 |
ARS
3 - 0
BPO
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1955 |
ARS
2 - 0
CAR
75%
15%
11%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1955 |
NEW
2 - 0
MUD
50%
21%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1955 |
MUD
3 - 0
WBA
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1955 |
MUD
2 - 2
SUN
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1955 |
LEI
1 - 0
MUD
40%
22%
39%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1955 |
SUN
4 - 3
MUD
46%
22%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |