Arsenal vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1947 |
ARS
0 - 2
ASV
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1947 |
SUN
1 - 4
ARS
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1946 |
ARS
1 - 1
WOL
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1946 |
OPA
0 - 2
ARS
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1946 |
ARS
2 - 1
OPA
62%
20%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1947 |
MID
2 - 4
MUD
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1947 |
MUD
4 - 1
CHA
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1946 |
GRI
0 - 0
MUD
56%
22%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1946 |
MUD
1 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1946 |
BOL
2 - 2
MUD
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |