Arsenal vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1939 |
ARS
2 - 1
BPO
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
BIR
1 - 2
ARS
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1939 |
BPO
1 - 0
ARS
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1939 |
ARS
1 - 2
MID
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1939 |
LEI
0 - 2
ARS
42%
25%
34%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1939 |
LEE
3 - 1
MUD
63%
19%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
MUD
1 - 1
OPA
45%
23%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1939 |
MUD
0 - 0
LEE
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1939 |
HUR
1 - 1
MUD
55%
22%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1939 |
MUD
0 - 2
EVE
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |