Arsenal vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1937 |
DER
5 - 4
ARS
50%
22%
29%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1937 |
ARS
3 - 0
WOL
70%
16%
14%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1937 |
SUN
1 - 1
ARS
60%
19%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1937 |
ARS
1 - 1
HUR
67%
17%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1937 |
BOL
0 - 5
ARS
40%
23%
37%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1937 |
MUD
1 - 1
PNE
44%
23%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1937 |
SHW
1 - 0
MUD
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1937 |
MAC
1 - 0
MUD
69%
17%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1937 |
MUD
2 - 2
DER
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1937 |
MUD
2 - 1
SUN
36%
23%
41%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |