Arsenal vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1926 |
TOT
1 - 1
ARS
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1925 |
NOT
4 - 1
ARS
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1925 |
ARS
3 - 0
NOT
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1925 |
BIR
1 - 0
ARS
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1925 |
ARS
1 - 0
WBA
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1926 |
MUD
2 - 1
WHU
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1925 |
LEI
1 - 3
MUD
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1925 |
MUD
2 - 1
BOL
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1925 |
WBA
5 - 1
MUD
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1925 |
MUD
1 - 2
SHE
37%
26%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |